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California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?

Manifold·Politics
United States

As of 16:59 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?” at 16% (-3pp in 24h). The market has M$10.6k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “California voter ID referendum passes?” on Polymarket, priced at 13%. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini, Predict and Opinion.

16%
▼ 2.9pp
24h change
vol cum
M49.2k
vol 24h
M10.6k
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 3, 2026
YES 16¢
NO 84¢

If approved, the amendment would make California the 37th U.S. state to require voter ID during elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_voter_ID_initiative# Resolves yes if California passes this additional voter identification proposition that will appear on the ballot on Nov 3 2026. Resolves n/a if for whatever reason it doesn’t appear. This is very unlikely as it says it will appear unless withdrawn by proponents. [image]

timeline
opened · Apr 24, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2026
California Voter ID ballot proposition passes? · prices over time
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