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California Recall Election Reform Proposition

Polymarket·Politics
United States

As of 03:18 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “California Recall Election Reform Proposition” at 49% (+21pp in 24h). The market has $105 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

49%
▲ 21.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$815
vol 24h
$105
spread
0.73
ends
Nov 4, 2026
Yes 49¢
No 52¢

Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

PoliticsElectionsCaliforniareferendumdeprec USA ElectionCalifornia MidtermUS Election
timeline
opened · Jul 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
California Recall Election Reform Proposition · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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