Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

·Politics

United States

56%

▲ 6.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.7k

vol 24h

$1.7k

spread

0.39

ends

Jul 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.