What is the current probability for "Precipitation in Seattle in July?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Precipitation in Seattle in July?": <0.5" 45%, 0.5-1" 45%, 1-1.5" 45% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/686211. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event7 outcomes

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

Q: When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/31/2026.

Q: How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Q: Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/686211. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

·Science and Technology·ends Jul 31, 2026

vol cum

$16

vol 24h

$16

outcomes

ends

Jul 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

ScienceWeatherPrecipitation

marketselected outcome

<0.5"

rank #1

United States

45¢

▼ 3.0pp

24h change

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vol 24h

spread

0.85

ends

Jul 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

timeline

opened · Jul 10, 2026opencloses · Jul 31, 2026

<0.5" · prices over time

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now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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