As of 16:03 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Andrew Tate released from custody by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 12% (+4pp in 24h), “July 31” at 0% and “August 31” at 0%. The event has $966 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
vol cum
$312.6k
vol 24h
$966
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
UKarrestPoliticsandrew tatetristan tate
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
Romania
D
12¢
▲ 4.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$120.6k
vol 24h
$966
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.