Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?
As of 13:42 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2026” at 9%, “November 2, 2026” at 0% and “Between Nov. 3 and Jan. 3 12PM” at 0%. The event has $482 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion, Manifold, Limitless and Gemini.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For purposes of this market, "Before the Midterms" is defined to mean by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice. Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
