marketsingle market
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ukraine

5%
▲ 0.6pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.2M
vol 24h
$137
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 5¢
No 95¢
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
NATOUkraineWorldPoliticsForeign PolicyputinGeopolitics
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026