marketsingle market
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Polymarket·World
Ukraine
As of 02:14 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?” at 1%. The market has $414 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

1%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.3M
vol 24h
$414
spread
0.00
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
NATOUkraineWorldPoliticsForeign PolicyputinGeopolitics
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027