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Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket·Politics
Syria

As of 10:16 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?” at 5%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Predict.

5%
▼ 0.1pp
24h change
vol cum
$73.2k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 5¢
No 95¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PoliticsGeopoliticsIsraelWorldSyriaMiddle EastTrump x al-Sharaa
timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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