event5 outcomes

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 22:22 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?” on Polymarket are “45%+” at 91% (+9pp in 24h), “50%+” at 44% (-3pp in 24h) and “55%+” at 20% (+9pp in 24h). The event has $4.2k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?” on Kalshi, an event with 9 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Opinion.

vol cum

$118.8k

vol 24h

$4.2k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

AIKimiTechMoonshotAI Benchmarks

marketselected outcome

45%+

rank #1

China

91¢

▲ 8.7pp

24h change

vol cum

$43.4k

vol 24h

$793

spread

0.07

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · Jul 23, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

45%+ · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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