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event3 outcomes

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

Polymarket·Culture·ends Jan 1, 2029

As of 02:05 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2028” at 36%, “December 31, 2027” at 14% and “December 31, 2026” at 3%. The event has $93 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
$438k
vol 24h
$93
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 1, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
CultureScience
marketselected outcome
December 31, 2028
rank #1
36¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$60.2k
vol 24h
$90
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 1, 2029

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.

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opened · Jul 24, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2029
December 31, 2028 · prices over time
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