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markets·Science and Technology·Part of: AI Model Odds →
opentrade on Polymarket ↗
event22 outcomes

#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Sep 30, 2026
vol cum
$3.8k
vol 24h
$1.8k
outcomes
22
ends
Sep 30, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 22
AITechAI Rankings
marketselected outcome
OpenAI
rank #1
United States
55¢
▲ 20.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.4k
vol 24h
$1.3k
spread
0.04
ends
Sep 30, 2026

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

timeline
opened · Jul 25, 2026opencloses · Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI · prices over time
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