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Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

Polymarket·Politics
United States

As of 10:20 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?” at 52% (+7pp in 24h). The market has $187 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

52%
▲ 6.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.2k
vol 24h
$187
spread
0.07
ends
Nov 4, 2026
Yes 52¢
No 49¢

Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).

MidtermsPoliticsElectionswashingtonUS Electionballot initiativereferendums midterms
timeline
opened · Jul 30, 2026opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? · prices over time
−24h
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