event3 outcomes

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Polymarket·Crypto·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 22:40 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31, 2026” at 25% (-2pp in 24h), “December 31, 2025” at 0% and “June 30, 2026” at 0%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket, Myriad and Opinion.

vol cum

$30.9k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

Gov ReserveCryptoFinancePoliticsBitcoin

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2026

rank #1

25¢

▼ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$22.7k

vol 24h

spread

0.20

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

timeline

opened · Nov 13, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

December 31, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history