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event4 outcomes

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Nov 1, 2026

As of 04:18 UTC on 9 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?” on Polymarket are “October 31” at 53% (+26pp in 24h), “October 15” at 20% (-27pp in 24h) and “September 30” at 0%. The event has $2.3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
$23.4k
vol 24h
$2.3k
outcomes
4
ends
Nov 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
AIGLMTechZ.aiAI ReleasesRecurring
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1
China
53¢
▲ 25.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$9.6k
vol 24h
$2.3k
spread
0.06
ends
Nov 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Aug 14, 2026opencloses · Nov 1, 2026
October 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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