Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
As of 12:09 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?” at 2%. The market has $305 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
