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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Predict·Politics
United States

As of 15:46 UTC on 27 Oct 2026, Predict prices “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?” at 31% (+3pp in 24h). The market has no Predict-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?” on Polymarket, priced at 31%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

31%
▲ 2.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 31¢
No 69¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PoliticsTrump
timeline
opened · Oct 26, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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