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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Polymarket·Politics
United States

As of 14:22 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?” at 20% (+2pp in 24h). The market has $3.8k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

20%
▲ 2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$506.5k
vol 24h
$3.8k
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 20¢
No 80¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump CabinetGeopoliticsPoliticsTrumpIranHegseth
timeline
opened · Apr 1, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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