Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
Yes 90% (+4pp in 24h) on Manifold as of 23:06 UTC on 12 Nov 2026 for “Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?”. The market has M$234 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Predict and Kalshi.
Resolution Criteria Pete Hegseth is currently the Secretary War, having been sworn in on January 25, 2025, as the 29th Secretary of Defense before the department's name was changed on September 5, 2025. This market resolves YES if Hegseth holds the position of Secretary of War on December 31, 2026, and NO if he does not. Resolution will be determined by checking the official U.S. Department of War website (https://www.war.gov/About/Secretary-of-War/) or official government announcements regarding the Secretary of War's identity on that date. Background The Secretary of War is the head of the United States Department of Defense and is a high-ranking member of the cabinet of the United States. In September 2025, President Donald Trump authorized "secretary of war" as a secondary title for use by the secretary of defense. Hegseth has served as the 29th United States secretary of defense since 2025. Considerations The position of Secretary of War is a cabinet-level role that typically requires Senate confirmation for any successor. Hegseth would need to resign, be removed, or face other extraordinary circumstances to vacate the position before the end of 2026. This description was generated by AI.
