Fed rate cut by...?
As of 14:13 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “Fed rate cut by...?” on Predict are “April 2027 Meeting” at 100% (+50pp in 24h), “July 2027 Meeting” at 90% and “June 2027 Meeting” at 50%. The event has no Predict-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi, Predict and Opinion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
