pasttrade on 
↗
↗event8 outcomes
Fed rate cut by...?
·Economy·ends Jun 17, 2026
vol cum
$2.4M
vol 24h
$5k
outcomes
8
ends
Jun 17, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
FedJerome PowellEconomyEconomic PolicyFed RatesFinance
marketselected outcome
December Meeting
rank #1
United States
16¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$184.4k
vol 24h
$1.7k
spread
0.02
ends
Jun 17, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
timeline
opened · Feb 26, 2026closedresolved · Jun 17, 2026
prices over time · December Meeting highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
limitlessFed rate cut by __?
October Meeting16¢· 0.0ppDecember Meeting16¢· 0.0ppSeptember Meeting6¢▲ 0.5pp
+2 others
$0 24h · 5 markets
polymarketFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
yes9¢· 0.0pp
$200 24h · 1 market
kalshiFed rate cut before 2027?
yes21¢▲ 1.0pp
$17.8k 24h · 1 market
myriadWill the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?
yes3¢▲ 0.6pp
$1.2k 24h · 1 market
opinionUS Fed Decision in July?
25 bps increase100¢· 0.0ppNo change50¢· 0.0pp25 bps decrease15¢· 0.0pp
+2 others
$2.7k 24h · 5 markets
predictWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 2.5%4¢▼ 0.2pp↓ 3.25%17¢▼ 3.1pp↑ 4.25%25¢▲ 4.1pp
+17 others
$790 24h · 20 markets