event13 outcomes

Fed rate cut by...?

Polymarket·Finance·ends Jan 29, 2028

As of 04:28 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 13 markets in “Fed rate cut by...?” on Polymarket are “July 2027 Meeting” at 51% (-1pp in 24h), “April 2027 Meeting” at 51% and “June 2027 Meeting” at 30% (-2pp in 24h). The event has $1.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Predict, Limitless, Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum

$3.9M

vol 24h

$1.6k

outcomes

ends

Jan 29, 2028

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showing 5 of 13

FedFed RatesFinanceEconomyEconomic PolicyKevin Warsh

marketselected outcome

July 2027 Meeting

rank #1

United States

51¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$162

vol 24h

spread

0.79

ends

Aug 8, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2027, currently scheduled for July 27 to 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Sep 16, 2026opencloses · Aug 8, 2027

July 2027 Meeting · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history