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event7 outcomes

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Gemini·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 04:51 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, “Gemini” leads “Best AI at the end of 2026?” on Gemini at 55% (+3pp in 24h), followed by “Claude” at 35% (-8pp in 24h) and “ChatGPT” at 9% (+1pp in 24h), out of 7 outcomes. The event has no Gemini-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Which company has best AI model end of 2026?” on Polymarket, an event with 26 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum

$311.9k

vol 24h

$0

outcomes

7

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

Best AI at the end of 2026?

AI Models

marketselected outcome

Gemini

rank #1

55¢

▲ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.04

ends

Jan 1, 2027

If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full terms & conditions

timeline

opened · Mar 4, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

Gemini · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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