opentrade on 
↗
↗event4 outcomes
EV market share in 2030?
·Climate and Weather·ends May 1, 2030vol cum
$37.9k
vol 24h
$1
outcomes
4
ends
May 1, 2030
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Above 10%
rank #1
88¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.1k
vol 24h
$1
spread
0.05
ends
May 1, 2030
If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 10% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Apr 12, 2024opencloses · May 1, 2030
Above 10% · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataWill the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
yes45¢
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshiHow much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter3¢· 0.0ppAbove 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter70¢Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter21¢· 0.0pp
+1 others
$67 24h · 4 markets
polymarketWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
yes17¢▲ 1.5pp
$29 24h · 1 market
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
yes47¢
M0 24h · 1 market
kalshiTesla headcount in 2026
Above 12000099¢Above 12500089¢· 0.0ppAbove 13000084¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
$0 24h · 6 markets
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
yes27¢
M0 24h · 1 market