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Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Manifold·Business

As of 13:59 UTC on 6 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?” at 45%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

45%
vol cum
M133k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2030
YES 45¢
NO 55¢

Majority is 50%+ and it's worldwide marketshare

timeline
opened · Sep 1, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2030
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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