What is the current probability for "California Governor winner?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "California Governor winner?": Xavier Becerra 96%, Steve Hilton 3% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Nov 3, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/GOVPARTYCA-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

California Governor winner?

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

vol cum

$1.5M

vol 24h

$12.4k

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Xavier Becerra

rank #1

United States

96¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$406.5k

vol 24h

$1.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jan 10, 2025opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Xavier Becerra · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history