p|datav0.1news192
HomeMarketsHubsNews192MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsNews192MapMonitor
theme
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026
markets·Politics
opentrade on Kalshi ↗
marketsingle market

Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?

Kalshi·Politics
United States
W
76%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$83
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.05
ends
Dec 31, 2029
Yes 76¢
No 24¢

If legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) has become law after Issuance and before Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.

timeline
opened · May 6, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2029
prices over time · Yes highlighted
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Kalshikalshi
Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?
yes7¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Polymarketpolymarket
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
June 307¢▼ 2.5ppNovember 237¢▼ 4.0pp
$100 24h · 2 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Will >5% of an FTX-implicated political donation be clawed back, from >2 politicians or political campaigns, by end of 2026?
yes24¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
Predictpredict
SAVE Act signed into law in 2026?
yes6¢▲ 0.3pp
$14 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
Before Jun 13, 202698¢▲ 98.0ppBefore Jul 1, 202699¢▲ 8.7ppBefore Jun 12, 202678¢▲ 78.0pp
+6 others
$50.3k 24h · 9 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
yes36¢▲ 5.0pp
$3 24h · 1 market