Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
As of 11:42 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?” at 6%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi and Limitless.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
