Will the House pass a bill to restore ACA subsidies?
As of 18:48 UTC on 7 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will the House pass a bill to restore ACA subsidies?” at 90%. The market has $3.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless.
If a bill restoring or extending the enhanced ACA premium tax credits has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying bill is legislation that extends or reinstates the enhanced ACA premium tax credits that expired Dec 31, 2025, for any length of time. A bill that reduces the subsidy amounts or changes eligibility still qualifies. Legislation that provides only a different benefit, such as deposits into health savings accounts or direct payments to consumers, does NOT qualify. The House's Jan 8, 2026 passage of an extension of the credits occurred before Issuance and does NOT count. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying extension. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.
