Will the House pass a Medicaid work requirements repeal?
As of 17:39 UTC on 7 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will the House pass a Medicaid work requirements repeal?” at 50% (+50pp in 24h). The market has $1.8k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.
If a bill repealing the federal Medicaid work requirements has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying bill is legislation that repeals the Medicaid community engagement (work) requirements enacted by the 2025 reconciliation law (section 71119), so that states are no longer required to condition Medicaid eligibility on work or other community engagement. A bill that repeals the requirements as part of a broader repeal of that law's health provisions qualifies. Legislation that only delays, pauses, funds the implementation of, or adds exemptions to the requirements, or that repeals other Medicaid provisions of that law while leaving the work requirements in place, does NOT qualify. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying repeal. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.
