Will the House pass a Medicare for All bill?
As of 16:16 UTC on 7 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will the House pass a Medicare for All bill?” at 14% (+14pp in 24h). The market has $180 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.
If a Medicare for All bill creating a single-payer national health insurance program has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying bill is legislation that creates a single government-run national health insurance program covering all U.S. residents (single-payer), such as the Medicare for All Act. The Medicare for All Act or a successor bill with the same effect qualifies. Legislation that only creates a public option or Medicare buy-in (including "Medicare for all who want it"), only lowers the Medicare eligibility age, only expands Medicaid or Medicare benefits, only extends or increases ACA premium tax credits, only authorizes or funds state single-payer programs, or only studies single-payer does NOT qualify. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying program. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.
