Will the House pass a bill to codify Roe v. Wade?
As of 08:12 UTC on 6 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will the House pass a bill to codify Roe v. Wade?” at 31% (+31pp in 24h). The market has $1.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.
If a bill codifying Roe v. Wade has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying bill is legislation that establishes a federal statutory right to abortion that applies in every state, at least as broad as Roe v. Wade: abortion must be protected before fetal viability, and after viability where needed to protect the patient's life or health. The Women's Health Protection Act or a successor bill with the same effect qualifies. Legislation limited to a narrower subject, such as interstate travel, contraception, medication abortion, funding or the privacy of reproductive health data, does NOT qualify, and neither does a bill that protects abortion only for a shorter period than before viability. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying right. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.
