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Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?

Manifold·Politics
United States
3%
vol cum
M6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
May 10, 2027
YES
NO 97¢

This market resolves to YES if, by 5/9/2027, the federal government passes a law saying that all 50 states must respect the right to an abortion within some time window (eg the first trimester). A law only guaranteeing the right to certain subsets of women (eg those whose health is in danger) will not count. This market resolves to YES immediately after this happens, even if the law is later repealed or struck down.

timeline
opened · May 9, 2022opencloses · May 10, 2027
Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years? · prices over time
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