If a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
As of 23:45 UTC on 11 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “If a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?” on Manifold are “None of the above” at 82%, “Banned after 20 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)” at 27% and “Banned after 24 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)” at 26%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.
If a Republican does not win, this question will be resolved N/A Multiple answers can resolve yes as follows: "Banned in all cases" and "Banned with exceptions" are mutually exclusive. If either of them resolve YES, then "Banned after X weeks" will resolve YES. If "Banned after X weeks" resolves YES, "Banned after Y weeks" (Y > X) resolves YES If "None of the above" resolves YES, nothing else resolves YES (obviously) "exceptions" includes life of the mother, rape/incest, and other exceptions that affect (cumulatively) <10% of pregnancies. If abortions for teenage pregnancies were be completely banned, and no other abortions were restricted, this market would resolve "None of the above."
