Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?
As of 08:12 UTC on 6 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?” at 12% (+12pp in 24h). The market has $200 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.
If a bill expanding the Supreme Court has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying bill is legislation that would increase the number of Justices of the Supreme Court above nine. Only Justices who hear the Court's appellate cases count, so a term-limits or staggered-appointment bill qualifies if it would at any time have more than nine Justices hearing the Court's appellate cases; Justices in senior status, or who hear only original-jurisdiction cases, do not count. Legislation that changes only the Court's jurisdiction, procedures, ethics rules or term limits, adds seats to lower courts, or proposes a constitutional amendment fixing the Court's size does NOT qualify. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying increase. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.
