Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?
As of 07:53 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?” at 35%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, Manifold and Limitless.
If the United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit vacates or reverses, in whole or in part and on any ground including ripeness, the preliminary injunction barring enforcement of Act 174 of 2024's foreign-ownership restrictions on digital asset mining businesses in Jones Eagle LLC v. Ward before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The ruling must: Be issued by the United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit in Jones Eagle LLC v. Ward Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls
