event4 outcomes

Will China unban Bitcoin?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2030

As of 19:24 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Will China unban Bitcoin?” on Kalshi are “Before 2030” at 22%, “Before 2028” at 15% and “Before 2029” at 11%. The event has $548 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Gemini and Opinion.

vol cum

$948

vol 24h

$548

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2030

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before 2030

rank #1

China

22¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$57

vol 24h

spread

0.08

ends

Jan 8, 2030

If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces a nationwide policy permitting members of the general public in mainland China to legally buy and sell Bitcoin through a government-authorized exchange, bank, broker, or other regulated trading platform before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 7, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2030

Before 2030 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history