What is the current probability for "Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score": above 1520 91%, above 1490 90%, above 1515 89% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXARENASCORE-GEMI35P. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event7 outcomes

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

vol cum

$60.2k

vol 24h

$18.5k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

above 1520

rank #1

91¢

▲ 86.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$5.6k

vol 24h

$3.3k

spread

0.47

ends

Jan 1, 2027

If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1520 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 25, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

above 1520 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history