What is the current probability for "Will Netanyahu be arrested?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Will Netanyahu be arrested?": Before Jan 1, 2027 13%, Before Nov 1, 2026 9%, Before Oct 1, 2026 3% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/8/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXARRESTNETANYAHU-28JAN01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.