Israel Odds Tracker
142events
Live odds on Israel across the prediction markets — the next prime minister, Netanyahu's future, and the conflicts with Hamas, Hezbollah, Lebanon and Iran.
consensus
Next prime minister of Israel⚑ same question · every platformthe same flagship question priced on each platform that lists it — the gap is where the markets disagree.
the model race
each platform’s standings on the marquee question
PolymarketGadi Eizenkot50%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%
Naftali Bennett9%
Avigdor Lieberman5%
Ofer Winter2%
Itamar Ben Gvir1%
Yossi Cohen0%
Yair Golan0%
KalshiGadi Eisenkot58%
Naftali Bennett10%
Itamar Ben-Gvir9%
Bezalel Smotrich4%
Avigdor Lieberman3%
Yariv Levin2%
Israel Katz2%
Yair Lapid2%
marketprob · Δ24hvol 24h
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
polymarket·Gadi Eizenkot50¢
▼ 0.1pp
$140.8k
vol 24h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
polymarket·September 3092¢
▼ 1.5pp
$106.5k
vol 24h
Israel closes its airspace by...?
polymarket·September 3099¢
▲ 0.5pp
$72.4k
vol 24h
Netanyahu out by...?
polymarket·December 3149¢
▼ 4.0pp
$30.9k
vol 24h
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
polymarket·20-2440¢
▲ 1.0pp
$29k
vol 24h
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
kalshi·Amy Gleason32¢
▲ 1.0pp
$19.3k
vol 24h
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
kalshi·Christopher Luxon48¢
· 0.0pp
$11.4k
vol 24h
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
polymarket·December 3122¢
· 0.0pp
$9.8k
vol 24h
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
polymarket·September 1799¢
▲ 2.6pp
$8k
vol 24h
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
polymarket·Lebanon10¢
· 0.0pp
$8k
vol 24h
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
kalshi·Djibouti13¢
· 0.0pp
$6.8k
vol 24h
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
polymarket·December 3146¢
▼ 4.5pp
$5.1k
vol 24h