Israel Odds Tracker
135events
Live odds on Israel across the prediction markets — the next prime minister, Netanyahu's future, and the conflicts with Hamas, Hezbollah, Lebanon and Iran.
consensus
Next prime minister of Israel⚑ same question · every platformthe same flagship question priced on each platform that lists it — the gap is where the markets disagree.
the model race
each platform’s standings on the marquee question
PolymarketGadi Eizenkot57%
Benjamin Netanyahu29%
Avigdor Lieberman4%
Naftali Bennett3%
Yossi Cohen1%
Israel Katz0%
Benny Gantz0%
Amir Ohana0%
KalshiGadi Eisenkot65%
Avigdor Lieberman8%
Naftali Bennett6%
Israel Katz5%
Bezalel Smotrich2%
Yossi Cohen1%
Benny Gantz1%
Itamar Ben-Gvir0%
marketprob · Δ24hvol 24h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
polymarket·November 2100¢
▲ 0.1pp
$1M
vol 24h
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
polymarket·Gadi Eizenkot57¢
▲ 1.6pp
$969.5k
vol 24h
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
kalshi·Pete Hegseth58¢
▲ 17.0pp
$243.9k
vol 24h
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
polymarket·Gadi Eizenkot98¢
▲ 3.4pp
$150.3k
vol 24h
Netanyahu out by...?
polymarket·June 30, 202746¢
▲ 8.0pp
$118.6k
vol 24h
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
kalshi·Saudi Arabia7¢
▲ 1.0pp
$33.9k
vol 24h
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
polymarket·December 3128¢
▼ 10.5pp
$25.9k
vol 24h
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
polymarket3¢
▼ 0.8pp
$22.6k
vol 24h
Next Israeli government formed by...?
polymarket·June 30, 202776¢
· 0.0pp
$14.7k
vol 24h
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
polymarket·Together68¢
▼ 1.0pp
$10k
vol 24h
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
polymarket1¢
▼ 0.5pp
$9.7k
vol 24h
Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
kalshi·Gadi Eisenkot97¢
▲ 5.0pp
$8.7k
vol 24h
polymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on...?
October 6
49¢▲ 24.0pp
kalshiWho will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth
58¢▲ 17.0pp
polymarketDem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?
Dem sweep; No Phase II
92¢▲ 13.0pp
Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Hung Knesset (political deadlock)
45¢▲ 11.7pp