markets

The first 50 of 186 events on pdata.world for this view, across 8 prediction-market platforms. Prices are probabilities; volume is each platform's own reported 24-hour figure, in its own unit.

1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Polymarket, Gadi Eizenkot 56%, $1M 24h volume.
2. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Polymarket, November 4 100%, $984.6k 24h volume.
3. Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Kalshi, Gadi Eizenkot 46%, $367.6k 24h volume.
4. Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? — Polymarket, Gadi Eizenkot 98%, $151.7k 24h volume.
5. Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kalshi, Pete Hegseth 57%, $247.1k 24h volume.
6. Netanyahu out by...? — Polymarket, June 30, 2027 47%, $118.3k 24h volume.
7. Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? — Manifold, Gadi Eizenkot 46%, M5.4k 24h volume.
8. What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)? — Manifold, Trump greatly reduces, dismantles, or recommends dismantling of the US Postal service (for example via bringing back Schedule F) 100%, M3.9k 24h volume.
9. Next leader out of power before 2027? — Polymarket, None before 2027 56%, $60.4k 24h volume.
10. Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Kalshi, Zohran Mamdani 30%, $96.3k 24h volume.
11. Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? — Manifold, Zohran Mamdani 30%, M1.9k 24h volume.
12. Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) — Polymarket, December 31 28%, $25.5k 24h volume.
13. Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Kalshi, Christopher Luxon 44%, $41.6k 24h volume.
14. TIME Person of the Year 2026 — Polymarket, Zohran Mamdani 27%, $20.5k 24h volume.
15. Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? — Polymarket, 3%, $20.8k 24h volume.
16. What countries will Trump visit in 2026? — Kalshi, Israel 7%, $29.2k 24h volume.
17. Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 5? — Polymarket, 26°C 100%, $16k 24h volume.
18. Next Israeli government formed by...? — Polymarket, June 30, 2027 76%, $14.3k 24h volume.
19. Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? — Polymarket, 1%, $10.6k 24h volume.
20. Which parties will be in the next Israeli government? — Polymarket, Together 69%, $8.6k 24h volume.
21. Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? — Manifold, Zohran Mamdani 29%, M849 24h volume.
22. When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer) — Manifold, Other 87%, M838 24h volume.
23. Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 6? — Polymarket, 24°C 45%, $6.8k 24h volume.
24. Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? — Polymarket, Venezuela 6%, $6.7k 24h volume.
25. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? — Polymarket, December 31, 2027 34%, $6.7k 24h volume.
26. Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate — Polymarket, Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 56%, $6.4k 24h volume.
27. Which coalition will form the next Israeli government? — Polymarket, No government formed 46%, $5.6k 24h volume.
28. Who will be arrested before 2027? — Polymarket, John Brennan 13%, $5.6k 24h volume.
29. How many Israeli elections before government formed? — Polymarket, 1 57%, $5.3k 24h volume.
30. Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...? — Polymarket, January 31, 2027 63%, $5.2k 24h volume.
31. Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government? — Kalshi, Gadi Eisenkot 97%, $8.6k 24h volume.
32. Who will be arrested in 2026? — Kalshi, Ilhan Omar 13%, $8.2k 24h volume.
33. Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? — Polymarket, Person I 50%, $3.6k 24h volume.
34. Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027? — Polymarket, Dem sweep; No Phase II 92%, $3.3k 24h volume.
35. Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Gemini, Benjamin Netanyahu 55%, $328 24h volume.
36. Next Israeli Minister of Finance? — Polymarket, Person L 50%, $2.9k 24h volume.
37. Next Israeli Minister of Interior? — Polymarket, Person M 50%, $2.6k 24h volume.
38. Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? — Polymarket, Portugal 11%, $2.6k 24h volume.
39. Netanyahu out by...? — Opinion, December 31 35%, $1.3k 24h volume.
40. Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026? — Polymarket, Saudi Arabia 22%, $2k 24h volume.
41. Israeli election results in a hung parliament? — Polymarket, 43%, $1.9k 24h volume.
42. Which answers will *exactly* match a *full* New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION] — Manifold, Trump 10%, M264 24h volume.
43. Next Israeli Minister of Defense? — Polymarket, Person M 50%, $1.8k 24h volume.
44. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? — Polymarket, 4 79%, $1.6k 24h volume.
45. Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? — Kalshi, Yair Lapid 20%, $2.4k 24h volume.
46. Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo — Kalshi, Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats 42%, $2k 24h volume.
47. #1 Searched Person on Google 2026? — Polymarket, Person 2 50%, $1.3k 24h volume.
48. Iran vs US (props) — Manifold, US military casualties exceed 100 by May 1, 2026 100%, M202 24h volume.
49. Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 5? — Polymarket, 17°C 94%, $1.2k 24h volume.
50. Netanyahu arrested by…? — Polymarket, December 31 3%, $965 24h volume.