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PoliticsVenezuela

Venezuela leader end of 2026?↗

Polymarket · $494K 24h · 2 of 2 markets moved >15pp

1 / 30

Delcy Rodríguez41%+16pp ↗

Nicolás Maduro55%-18pp ↗

Top by 24h volume

Top countries

$494.1k▾Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$247.7kDelcy Rodríguez 41¢▲ 15.5pp

$246.4kNicolás Maduro 55¢▼ 18.1pp

$2kWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?63¢▲ 11.0pp

$5.4k▾Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$1.8kSeptember 18 35¢▲ 21.5pp

$3.6kSeptember 20 99¢▲ 8.3pp

$4.1kUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?37¢▲ 5.5pp

$5.8k▾Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

$2.2k25-29 72¢▲ 34.5pp

$3.6k<25 19¢▼ 28.2pp

$318Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?66¢▲ 15.5pp

$1.4kIsrael military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?30¢▲ 15.0pp

$650Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?36¢▲ 7.0pp

$604Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?9¢▼ 6.5pp

$587Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?17¢▼ 12.5pp

$548Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?65¢▲ 17.5pp

$29k▾How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/14-9/20)

$11.4k5 99¢▲ 53.0pp

$13.1k4 1¢▼ 85.0pp

$17.9kTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?20¢▲ 17.8pp

$14.3k▾How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026?

$4k2 74¢▲ 28.0pp

$10.2k1 1¢▼ 55.0pp

$10.5kWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before Oct 1, 2026?91¢▼ 7.0pp

$9.5k▾Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)

$7kAbove 20 93¢▲ 32.0pp

$2.5kAbove 25 44¢▲ 13.0pp

$6.9kWill the President's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.2 according to RealClearPolitics?30¢▲ 21.0pp

$6.7k▾Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

$7503 39¢▲ 18.9pp

$5k1 1¢▼ 41.5pp

$6kWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?95¢▲ 24.0pp

$2.2kWill Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?35¢▲ 3.5pp

$771Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?19¢▼ 21.0pp

$103.9k▾Tencent market share this week

$27.2kAbove 6.1%99¢▲ 73.0pp

$64.6kAbove 6.4%4¢▼ 6.0pp

$92.1k▾Google market share this week

$21.7kAbove 18.3%98¢▲ 4.0pp

$56.7kAbove 18.6%6¢▼ 70.0pp

$75.2k▾Anthropic market share this week

$34.9kAbove 2.65%97¢▲ 1.0pp

$25.3kAbove 2.75%3¢▼ 66.0pp

$54.5k▾DeepSeek market share this week

$51.2kAbove 25.3%66¢▲ 32.0pp

$3.3kAbove 24.7%99¢▲ 15.0pp

$11.3kHow many launches will SpaceX have in Sep 2026? — Above 8 76¢▲ 39.0pp

$1.3kWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 29, 2026?47¢▲ 24.0pp

$1.2kWill AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?25¢▼ 21.5pp

$1kQwen market share this week? — Above 6.75%1¢▼ 52.0pp

$908Top Coding AI this week? — ChatGPT 91¢▼ 3.0pp

$874Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?76¢▲ 31.0pp

$660Will OpenRouter total token usage for Sep 14–20, 2026 be above 128T tokens?96¢▲ 13.0pp

$638How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in September 2026? — Above 12 57¢▲ 38.0pp

$591Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?33¢▼ 15.0pp

$500When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? — Before Jan 1, 2028 85¢▲ 30.0pp

$437Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?28¢▼ 20.5pp

$241Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?3¢▼ 18.0pp

$218Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?37¢▲ 16.0pp

$217Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?8¢▼ 16.0pp

$30.6k▾Next Claude Opus released by...?

$12.5kSeptember 24 79¢▲ 19.5pp

$18.1kSeptember 27 82¢▲ 11.5pp

$6.7kWill the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?37¢▲ 6.2pp

$1.4kWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?37¢▲ 22.0pp

$196Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?31¢▼ 17.5pp

$12.5kWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?10¢▼ 14.0pp

$101Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026?5¢▼ 32.0pp

$5.5kWill OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?90¢▲ 33.0pp

$2.2kWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?40¢▼ 13.9pp

$1.9k▾Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

$648OpenAI 34¢▲ 15.7pp

$1.2kAnthropic 58¢▼ 4.4pp

$1.4kWill Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?28¢▲ 17.0pp

$278Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?14¢▼ 21.5pp

$260Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?10¢▼ 21.5pp

$251Will Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?1¢▼ 24.4pp

$250Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?41¢▼ 13.9pp

$149Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?14¢▼ 24.0pp

$129Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?25¢▲ 8.5pp

$2.2k▾Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

$189OpenAI 50¢▲ 18.0pp

$113DeepSeek 4¢▼ 33.7pp

$111Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?7¢▲ 1.1pp

$7.3M▾Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$6.1MUnited Russia (ER)99¢▲ 18.0pp

$1.2MNew People (NL)1¢▼ 16.6pp

$155.8kRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?88¢▲ 19.0pp

$147.6k▾United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

$54.9k340–354 71¢▲ 39.5pp

$56.4k325–339 24¢▼ 17.5pp

$53.7k▾Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$28kLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)89¢▲ 63.0pp

$25.6kNew People (NL)11¢▼ 55.0pp

$22kWill Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?3¢▼ 14.0pp

$7.8kRussia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?96¢▲ 30.0pp

$6.2kWill New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?97¢▲ 15.3pp

$1.8kWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?9¢▼ 56.0pp

$1.2kWill New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?7¢▼ 37.5pp

$192k▾Berlin State Election Winner

$143.1kLinke 100¢▲ 34.1pp

$48.9kCDU 0¢▼ 29.9pp

$50.4k▾Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

$27.6kAfD 98¢▲ 38.7pp

$4.6kCDU 1¢▼ 17.9pp

$30.2k▾Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

$3.9k29-31 97¢▲ 76.4pp

$4.4k35+2¢▼ 33.1pp

$29.2k▾AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

$13k2 99¢▲ 52.0pp

$16.2k1 1¢▼ 48.1pp

$18.4k▾Berlin State Election: 2nd Place

$10.4kCDU 99¢▲ 51.5pp

$3.6kLinke 0¢▼ 26.4pp

$14.8k▾Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?

$7.1k14-17%97¢▲ 36.9pp

$4k<14%2¢▼ 24.5pp

$14.8k▾Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

$13.7kElif Eralp 87¢▲ 33.0pp

$1.1kStefan Evers 8¢▼ 29.0pp

$14k▾Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?

$8.4k23%+99¢▲ 77.8pp

$2.9k20-23%0¢▼ 49.1pp

$8.2k▾Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?

$2.3k10-13%98¢▲ 36.3pp

$5k<10%1¢▼ 21.5pp

$7.9k▾Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?

$2.5k14-17%98¢▲ 67.3pp

$2.1k17-20%1¢▼ 56.3pp

$6.9kBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?99¢▲ 24.9pp

$5.3k▾Berlin State Election: 4th Place

$2.2kGrüne 98¢▲ 14.4pp

$3.1kAfD 1¢▼ 5.6pp

$4.9k▾Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share?

$1.5k17-20%98¢▲ 52.8pp

$1.2k20-23%1¢▼ 39.9pp

$2.2kBerlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?99¢▲ 27.6pp

$1.9kBerlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD?99¢▲ 20.0pp

$1.5kBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne?100¢▲ 11.5pp

$1.2kBerlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?98¢▲ 9.5pp

$1.2kBerlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?3¢▼ 70.4pp

$999Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?1¢▼ 37.5pp

$795Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?79¢▲ 37.0pp

$468Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%?3¢▼ 22.0pp

$422Will CDU win 40-44 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?6¢▼ 31.3pp

$383Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?7¢▼ 26.5pp

$350Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?7¢▼ 24.0pp

$180Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD?98¢▲ 8.0pp

$106Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or SPD?99¢▼ 0.4pp

$368Will Françoise Faverjon-Fortin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?46¢▼ 5.5pp

$199Will Donald Martel win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?31¢▼ 19.5pp

$189Will Frédéric Poulin win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?30¢▼ 18.5pp

$573.1k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

$342.4kAfD 100¢▲ 52.2pp

$230.7kSPD 0¢▼ 52.3pp

$79.2kMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?1¢▼ 78.8pp

$39.9k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?

$29.8k38%+98¢▲ 63.9pp

$10.1k35-38%0¢▼ 49.8pp

$22.8k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

$5kSPD 98¢▲ 50.6pp

$17.8kAfD 2¢▼ 48.1pp

$22.2k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$9.9kLinke 97¢▲ 7.9pp

$12.3kGrüne 1¢▼ 0.8pp

$16.8k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?

$9.9k<8%99¢▲ 70.1pp

$6.9k8-11%1¢▼ 61.4pp

$16.6k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?

$5.2k3-5%99¢▲ 35.7pp

$11.4k5-7%0¢▼ 21.8pp

$9.8k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

$3.6k26-29 95¢▲ 34.0pp

$4.2k30-33 4¢▼ 21.1pp

$8.5k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

$5.2k32-35 90¢▲ 75.5pp

$2.3k28-31 10¢▼ 50.0pp

$6.6k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?

$4.6k5-7%99¢▲ 48.4pp

$2.1k3-5%1¢▼ 44.7pp

$5.4kWill CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?0¢▼ 11.1pp

$2.7kMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?98¢▲ 42.5pp

$2.1kMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?3¢▼ 19.1pp

$2.1kMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?1¢▼ 15.4pp

$1.2kMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?5¢▼ 23.0pp

$762▾Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

$636Grüne 91¢▲ 65.0pp

$125CDU 5¢▼ 45.5pp

$569Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?97¢▲ 50.8pp

$471Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?99¢▲ 21.2pp

$45.9kWill Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?31¢▲ 16.0pp

$30.4k▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?

$21.8kAfD 99¢▲ 51.0pp

$8.6kSPD 1¢▼ 54.0pp

$8.2kWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?33¢▼ 15.0pp

$7.3kWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?31¢▲ 3.0pp

$4.2k▾Berlin state election winner?

$3.4kDie Linke 97¢▲ 28.0pp

$845CDU 3¢▼ 28.0pp

$3.8kWill Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?45¢▲ 14.5pp

$3.5k▾Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

$3.2kElif Eralp 89¢▲ 35.0pp

$282Stefan Evers 13¢▼ 23.0pp

$938Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?43¢▲ 19.0pp

$799▾Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

$265AfD 82¢▲ 17.0pp

$103CDU 2¢▼ 14.0pp

$787Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?60¢▲ 13.0pp

$620Will Lukhona Mnguni be the next mayor of Johannesburg?5¢▼ 8.4pp

$551▾Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share?

$147At least 5%2¢▼ 84.0pp

$403At least 7%1¢▼ 54.0pp

$391Will GRÜNE receive at least 5% of valid second votes in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election?98¢▲ 46.0pp

$316Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?33¢▼ 6.5pp

$272Will AfD finish 2nd in the 2026 Berlin state election?2¢▼ 23.0pp

$180Will Greens win the 2026 Hannover mayoral election?98¢▲ 15.0pp

$187Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?65¢▲ 10.5pp

$109Will Chris Lynch win the next Burnie mayoral election?16¢▼ 11.0pp

$104Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election?35¢▼ 16.5pp

$13.3k▾US gas prices tomorrow

$6.6kAbove 4.4800 45¢▲ 20.0pp

$6.7kAbove 4.4750 89¢▲ 17.0pp

$4.9kWill Diesel Price on September 21, 2026 be above $6.520?30¢▼ 13.0pp

$2.9kWill CPI rise more than 0.4% in September 2026?77¢▲ 20.0pp

$2.3kWill average **gas prices** be above $4.4050?67¢▲ 23.0pp

$1.9kWill the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?84¢▲ 0.0pp

$1.8kWill average **gas prices** be above $5.5600?90¢▲ 15.0pp

$1.1kWill average **gas prices** be above $4.6600?50¢▲ 26.0pp

$3.9k▾September Inflation China - Annual

$2.9k0.7% to 0.8%57¢▲ 29.0pp

$4020.5% to 0.6%4¢▼ 33.4pp

$610Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?31¢▲ 1.0pp

$297Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?25¢▼ 15.5pp

$3kWill the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?52¢▼ 12.0pp

$1k▾Bank of Japan Decision in December?

$61425 bps increase 77¢▲ 24.5pp

$412No change 19¢▼ 18.0pp

$34.7k▾Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination

$10.2kMelody Morris 87¢▲ 44.0pp

$24.5kDrew Campbell 3¢▼ 51.0pp

$8.3k▾Toronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award

$3.8kLa bola negra 99¢▲ 86.0pp

$1.8kThe Debut 1¢▼ 29.0pp

$7kWill Melody Morris finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28?6¢▼ 15.0pp

$5.8k▾New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

$400Irma Thomas 16¢▲ 16.0pp

$4.9kThe Revivalists 43¢▼ 39.0pp

$4.4k▾Oscar nominees: Best Director

$669Olivia Wilde 64¢▲ 24.0pp

$2.2kAlejandro González Iñárritu 20¢▼ 24.0pp

$2.1k▾Ed Sheeran Loop Tour · Number of Dates Cancelled

$802At least 5 dates cancelled 13¢▼ 24.0pp

$324At least 3 dates cancelled 21¢▼ 21.0pp

$2.1kWill Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?24¢▲ 4.0pp

$2k▾Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

$862Don Toliver 92¢▲ 30.0pp

$151Christina Aguilera 17¢▲ 17.0pp

$1.6kWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?42¢▲ 16.5pp

$2.9k▾CMA Entertainer of the Year 2026

$124Lainey Wilson 16¢▲ 5.7pp

$2.8kCody Johnson 24¢▼ 18.5pp

$2.6kWill Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?71¢▲ 0.0pp

$2.1kWill “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?21¢▲ 14.5pp

$1.3kWill The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?67¢▲ 43.5pp

$745▾VMA Best Dance 2026

$395Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)50¢▲ 15.5pp

$350Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)39¢▲ 10.0pp

$715Will Jenee Fleenor (fiddle) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?10¢▼ 17.5pp

$446Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?61¢▲ 0.0pp

$308Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?22¢▲ 14.5pp

$284Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?57¢▼ 9.5pp

$192Will “Storm” by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?23¢▲ 11.5pp

$2.1k▾Who will be evicted from Big Brother? (Week 11)

$1.2kMelody Morris 93¢▲ 35.0pp

$939Taylor Brown 17¢▲ 1.5pp

$372Will Melody Morris come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?5¢▼ 24.6pp

$255Will Crimson Desert win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?5¢▼ 7.6pp

$206Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?13¢▲ 5.0pp

$22.1kPolymarket IPO by _? — December 31, 2027 38¢▲ 8.7pp

$3.5kWill Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?79¢▼ 14.0pp

$1.7kWill Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth for September 2026 be above 100 ?48¢▼ 18.0pp

$653Will Monster Energy Drinks Point of Sale Growth for September 2026 be above 104 ?41¢▼ 24.0pp

$296Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?43¢▲ 29.4pp

$177Will the NASDAQ-100 be above 29644.17 on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?48¢▼ 22.0pp

$114Will Southwest Airlines Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 110 ?45¢▲ 15.0pp

$7.8kWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?54¢▼ 24.9pp

$3.3kWill the S&P 500 be above 7650.12 on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?54¢▼ 13.0pp

$795Will American Airlines Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 100 ?95¢▲ 17.0pp

$554Will Carvana Co. report Above 215000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?48¢▼ 22.0pp

$214Fear & Greed Index on Sep 25, 2026?60¢▲ 10.0pp

$139Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for September 2026 be above 98 ?89¢▲ 16.0pp

$114Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 11% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?26¢▲ 21.0pp

$184When will JUUL release Mango to the public?7¢▼ 68.0pp

$103Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Lockheed Martin?40¢▼ 15.0pp

$3.6kWill Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?74¢▲ 13.5pp

$100Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?56¢▲ 18.5pp

$1.4kWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 15-21?97¢▲ 26.2pp

$570Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 15-21?5¢▼ 33.5pp

$909▾What price will Avalanche hit in 2026?

$395↑ 11 100¢▲ 57.0pp

$263↑ 12 84¢▲ 48.5pp

$430Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?16¢▲ 5.5pp

$4.1k▾Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

$3.2kAt least 60%38¢▲ 38.0pp

$128At least 62%17¢▼ 23.0pp

$3.2kWill James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Starr County, Texas?51¢▼ 15.0pp

$1.4kWill Josh Shapiro receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?64¢▲ 64.0pp

$1kWill Republicans win young men (18-29) in the exit poll?28¢▲ 4.0pp

$999▾Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

$400Bell 45¢▲ 30.0pp

$200Brazoria 36¢▲ 21.0pp

$640Will Byron Donalds receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Miami-Dade County, Florida?67¢▲ 27.0pp

$600Will David Crowley receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?96¢▲ 96.0pp

$488Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?42¢▲ 3.0pp

$475Will Aaron Ford receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?76¢▲ 76.0pp

$419▾Waukesha County, Wisconsin: Tom Tiffany vote percent

$205At least 58%51¢▲ 51.0pp

$214At least 56%43¢▼ 23.0pp

$2.5k▾New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

$1.5kBruce Blakeman (R)63¢▲ 20.0pp

$1.1kKathy Hochul (D)38¢▼ 1.5pp

$841▾California Governor Election: Turnout

$40012.5M-13M 37¢▲ 22.5pp

$33210.5M-11M 3¢▼ 23.5pp

$815▾Alabama Senate Election: Turnout

$4121.4M-1.5M 31¢▲ 13.0pp

$4031.5M-1.6M 36¢▼ 15.0pp

$732Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 375,000 and 400,000?28¢▲ 16.5pp

$628Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?22¢▼ 28.0pp

$175Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?10¢▼ 14.5pp

$144Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 650,000 and 700,000?22¢▲ 15.0pp

$138Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?45¢▼ 8.0pp

$112Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?31¢▲ 1.6pp