As of 14:52 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 71 markets in “Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?” on Polymarket are “Andy Beshear” at 88% (+1pp in 24h), “Pete Buttigieg” at 81% and “Gavin Newsom” at 74% (+2pp in 24h). The event has $730 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Gemini.
vol cum
$149.8k
vol 24h
$730
outcomes
71
ends
Jan 1, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 71
PoliticsElectionsPresidentCelebrities
marketselected outcome
Andy Beshear
rank #1
United States
88¢
▲ 0.6pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.7k
vol 24h
$21
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
