pdatanews270
event44 outcomes

Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?

Manifold·Elections·ends Nov 16, 2028

As of 05:41 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 44 markets in “Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?” on Manifold are “JD Vance” at 88%, “Andy Beshear” at 75% and “JB Pritzker” at 75%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Gemini.

vol cum
M6.8k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
44
ends
Nov 16, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 44

Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy. (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.) All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed. Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.

2028-elections2028-us-presidential-election-6tdsp26zlypolitics-default2028-us-presidential-electionus-politics
marketselected outcome
JD Vance
rank #1
United States
88¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M142
vol 24h
—
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 16, 2028
timeline
opened · Feb 5, 2025opencloses · Nov 16, 2028
JD Vance · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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