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What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 13, 2026?

“Magnitude of at least 5.2” 99%, “Magnitude of at least 5.4” 56% (+56pp in 24h) and “Magnitude of at least 5.6” 32% (+32pp in 24h) on Kalshi as of 15:47 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 13, 2026?”. The event has $3.6k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Nov 20, 2026
event10 outcomes
vol cum
$3.6k
vol 24h
$3.6k
outcomes
10
ends
Nov 20, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
marketselected outcome
Magnitude of at least 5.2
rank #1 · resolved: yes
99¢
▲ 99.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.1k
vol 24h
$1.1k
spread
1.00
ends
Nov 20, 2026

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 13, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 12, 2026closedresolved · Nov 13, 2026
Magnitude of at least 5.2 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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