What will the biggest earthquake be on November 13, 2026?
“Under 5.3” 51% (+2pp in 24h), “5.3 to 5.4” 50% (+1pp in 24h) and “5.5 to 5.6” 50% on Polymarket as of 05:59 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: “Under 5.3” leads “What will the biggest earthquake be on November 13, 2026?” out of 6 outcomes. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini.
Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Nov 14, 2026
event6 outcomes
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
6
ends
Nov 14, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 6
WeatherEarthquakesHide From New
marketselected outcome
Under 5.3
rank #1
51¢
▲ 2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.96
ends
Nov 14, 2026
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on November 13, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
Brackets: Under 5.3 / 5.3 to 5.4 / 5.5 to 5.6 / 5.7 to 5.8 / 5.9 to 6.0 / 6.1 or more. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on November 13, 2026. An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.
If USGS revises a magnitude after initial publication, the revision governs provided it is published before 2:00 PM ET on November 14, 2026. A value first published after that time is not considered.
If the reported magnitude carries more than one decimal place, it is rounded to the nearest tenth using standard rounding conventions (0.05 rounds up). Brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints.
If no earthquake data for November 13, 2026 has been published by 2:00 PM ET on November 14, 2026, this market will resolve to the "Under 5.3" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the USGS Earthquake Catalog, maintained by the United States Geological Survey, at https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/.
