Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?
As of 04:04 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?” at 1%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
If the full nationwide taking effect of Trump's Executive Order 14418 for all people it covers before January 1, 2027 is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states the full nationwide taking effect of Trump's Executive Order 14418 for all people it covers before January 1, 2027 occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. Full nationwide effect means federal agencies may legally implement EO 14418 throughout the United States for every covered category. Signing, publication, guidance, or partial applicability does not qualify. Any continuing federal block for a covered person, category, territory, or jurisdiction prevents Yes. A later block does not undo an earlier qualifying period.
