event4 outcomes

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 20, 2029

As of 23:13 UTC on 7 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 20, 2029” at 45% (+4pp in 24h), “Before 2027” at 17% (+2pp in 24h) and “Before March 2026” at 1%. The event has $757 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless.

vol cum

$591.3k

vol 24h

$757

outcomes

ends

Jan 20, 2029

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 20, 2029

rank #1

United States

45¢

▲ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$225.4k

vol 24h

$194

spread

0.03

ends

Jan 20, 2029

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Mar 22, 2025opencloses · Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 20, 2029 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history