Insurrection Act invoked by...?
As of 15:49 UTC on 9 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “Insurrection Act invoked by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 11%, “March 31” at 0% and “June 30” at 0%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Opinion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
