Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 22:40 UTC on 28 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

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Jan 23, 2029

Settles Yes if gay marriage is illegal on the federal level on the day prior to the last day Trump is president. Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market resolves to Yes if there is a federal law explicitly prohibiting gay marriage, even if individual states have laws permitting it (similar to the current federal/state dynamic with marijuana).