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Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

Kalshi·Finance

As of 11:40 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?” at 44% (+5pp in 24h). The market has $672 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Predict, Manifold, Kalshi, Myriad and Opinion.

44%
▲ 5.4pp
24h change
vol cum
$309k
vol 24h
$672
spread
0.05
ends
Jan 8, 2027
Yes 44¢
No 56¢

If Bitcoin outperforms gold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The performance of gold will be determined by using ICE Data Service's prices provided by a variety of financial institutions. The performance of Bitcoin will be determined by using the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index.

timeline
opened · Dec 19, 2025opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
In 2026 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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