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event4 outcomes

When will Anthropic release Fable 5.2?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 8, 2027

As of 15:05 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “When will Anthropic release Fable 5.2?” on Kalshi are “Before Nov 16, 2026” at 96%, “Before Dec 1, 2026” at 87% and “Before Dec 16, 2026” at 0%. The event has $705 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum
$705
vol 24h
$705
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Nov 16, 2026
rank #1
96¢
▲ 96.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$591
vol 24h
$591
spread
0.04
ends
Nov 23, 2026

If Anthropic releases Fable 5.2 before Nov 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 2, 2026opencloses · Nov 23, 2026
Before Nov 16, 2026 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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